Market Insights: RBA Cut in Focus, UK GDP Weakens, Canada Jobs, FOMC Clues, Tariff Deadline

From rate decisions to rising unemployment and tariff deadlines, this week’s macro landscape is shaped by evolving dynamics and shifting momentum. If you’re trading FX, commodities, or indices — this is a moment to pay close attention.

In this episode of Market Insights, Gary Thomson unpacks the strategic implications of the week’s biggest events:

• RBA Interest Rate Decision
  The Reserve Bank of Australia will decide on its cash rate on 8 July, with markets expecting a 25 basis point cut amid easing inflation and weak growth. Still, the RBA may act cautiously due to a tight labour market and global risks. Will the RBA cut rates to support growth or hold back due to labour market and global concerns?
• UK GDP Growth Rate
  UK GDP grew 0.7% in Q1, led by housing, manufacturing, and exports, but April saw a 0.3% contraction amid tax and tariff worries. Forecasts are mixed, with trade tensions and fiscal limits as key risks. Will the new GDP data show continued resilience or deeper weakness?
• Unemployment Rate in Canada
  Canada’s jobless rate climbed to 7.0% in May as hiring slowed, partly due to US tariffs. With more weakness expected, the data on 11 July could spark CAD volatility ahead of the Bank of Canada’s rate decision.
• FOMC Minutes
  With the next Fed meeting weeks away, this week’s release could offer early insight into the rate trajectory. Any shift in tone may move the dollar and risk assets.
• Tariff Deadline
  On 9 July, the pause on sweeping US tariffs expires. If deals aren’t reached, new levies could snap back — pressuring trade, sentiment, and volatility.

Don’t miss out — gain insights to stay ahead in your trading journey.

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